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Top cold-climate picks: 3.5–4.5 tons, by duct type

Qualifies when its capacity retention at 5°F (capacity at 5°F as a share of capacity at 47°F) is at least 70% and Capacity retention at 5°F, COP at 5°F, HSPF2 are all rated. Score = the equal-weight mean of its peer percentiles on Capacity retention at 5°F, COP at 5°F, HSPF2 (share of the other models in its peer group it beats, 0–100), all from one certified pairing: in each duct type a model is sold in, its qualifying pairing of that type with the best score; equal scores (one decimal) go to the higher heating capacity at 5°F. COP at 5°F alone is not used: it is measured at whatever heat output the unit delivers at 5°F, so a unit with little output there can still post a high COP. The single-rating boards remain, each labelled as ranked by that one rating. Only manufacturers with a QMID (IRS Qualified Manufacturer ID) on file are ranked.

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Top cold-climate picks: Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons

569 of 2,074 models in this size class qualify. 904 keep less than 70% of their heat at 5°F and 590 have no 5°F heat output rating, so they cannot show it. 290 of the qualifiers are from manufacturers with a QMID on file (the ranked pool).

Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons: qualifiers ranked by cold-climate score (mean of the three peer percentiles); equal scores go to the higher heat output at 5°F. Every number in a row is from the pairing the score is computed on: in each duct type, the model’s best-scoring pairing that keeps at least 70% of its heat.
# · Outdoor modelManufacturerSize · typeCap. 5/47COP@5°FHSPF2Btu/h @5°FSEER2EER2MeetsCombosAHRI ref.ScoreBeats on Cap. 5/47Beats on COP@5°FBeats on HSPF2
1MLB048S4S-1PLENNOX · M serieswith ducted air handler MMDB048S4-2PLennox4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Ducted96%2.0210.346,00014.38.2ES CC320578216188.997%71%99%
2MLB048S4S-2PLENNOX · M serieswith ducted air handler MMDB048S4-*PLennox4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Ducted96%2.0210.246,00014.38.1None1021103444988.697%71%99%
3BOVA-60HDN1-M20GBOSCHwith ducted air handler L(E,G)M48G4Bosch4 tons47,000 Btu/h · Ducted83%2.619.540,00018.512.0CEE 25CEE 26Xcel14321267569088.180%92%92%
4MCY-MAP0487HS-UL*TOSHIBA CARRIER · MCY-MAP0487HS-UL*Carrier4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Ducted81%2.5010.039,00017.911.7CEE 25CEE 26Xcel321335025487.775%90%98%
5BOVB-60HDN1-M20GBOSCHwith ducted air handler L(E,G)M48G4Bosch4 tons47,000 Btu/h · Ducted83%2.489.540,00018.512.0CEE 25CEE 26Xcel20421267568887.380%89%92%
6ROSH42VGSNRHEEMwith ducted air handler RIDH42AXCJAlso sold as RUUD RO1HGZ42AJ8SRheem3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Ducted84%2.289.835,20017.310.7CEE 25CEE 26Xcel420759003587.080%83%98%
7AC060BXUPCHSAMSUNGwith ducted air handler L(E,G)M60E4Samsung4.5 tons56,500 Btu/h · Ducted102%2.349.054,00017.58.5CEE AdvDOEES CC421335096686.4100%86%74%
8LMU480HHVLG · LMU480HHVLG4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Ducted90%2.0210.047,00018.512.6CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC320671700986.491%71%98%
9MOE30U-48HFN1-M-[X]MDV · MTI serieswith ducted air handler MTI-48HWFN1-MAlso sold as CTMorley MOU-A48LH-2; also listed as MOE30U-48HFN1-M-[X](GA)Midea4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Ducted88%2.0210.346,00014.38.2CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC720482982186.489%71%99%
10CH-HYP48LCUOC&H · CH serieswith ducted air handler CH-48LCDTU/IAlso listed as CH-NHPR48LCU-230VOCooper&Hunter4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Ducted88%2.0210.346,00014.38.2None1020526386486.489%71%99%

Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons board

Top cold-climate picks: Non-ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons

264 of 479 models in this size class qualify. 164 keep less than 70% of their heat at 5°F and 41 have no 5°F heat output rating, so they cannot show it. 136 of the qualifiers are from manufacturers with a QMID on file (the ranked pool).

Non-ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons: qualifiers ranked by cold-climate score (mean of the three peer percentiles); equal scores go to the higher heat output at 5°F. Every number in a row is from the pairing the score is computed on: in each duct type, the model’s best-scoring pairing that keeps at least 70% of its heat.
# · Outdoor modelManufacturerSize · typeCap. 5/47COP@5°FHSPF2Btu/h @5°FSEER2EER2MeetsCombosAHRI ref.ScoreBeats on Cap. 5/47Beats on COP@5°FBeats on HSPF2
1LMU421HHVLGLG3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted100%2.2911.048,00021.513.8CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC320671700197.498%98%96%
2LMU480HHVLGLG4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted100%2.3410.552,50020.513.1CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC320671700295.898%99%90%
3PUMY-HP48NKMU1MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC · S-SeriesAlso sold as Trane / Mitsubishi Electric NTXMSH48A182A; also listed as MXZ-SM48NAMHZMitsubishi Electric4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted100%2.0011.554,00023.013.1CEE 25CEE 26Xcel320483427590.498%74%99%
4M5OG-42HFN1-M-[X]MDV · M5O serieswith ductless indoor unit MSEPB-09HRFN1-MY5W(GA)Midea3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted100%2.0010.548,00022.311.7CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC220761765787.598%74%90%
5MXZ-SM42NAMHZ2MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC · Smart MultiAlso sold as Trane / Mitsubishi Electric NTXMSH42A152B; also listed as PUMY-HP42NKMU2Mitsubishi Electric3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted92%2.0011.144,00021.513.4CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC321101645283.981%74%97%
6LUU420HHVLG · LUU420HHVwith ductless indoor unit LCN429HVLG3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted83%2.2010.840,00019.512.8CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC320578876583.861%95%96%
7MXZ-SM42NAMHZ***Mitsubishi Electric · Smart MultiAlso sold as Trane / Mitsubishi Electric NTXMSH42A152A, Trane / Mitsubishi Electric NTXMSH42A152B; also listed as MXZ-SM42NAMHZ2Mitsubishi Electric3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted92%2.0011.144,00021.513.4CEE 25CEE 26Xcel321324883383.680%74%97%
8RZQ42TBVJU*DAIKINwith ductless indoor unit FCQ42AAVJUDaikin3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted86%2.1110.240,50018.910.3CEE 25CEE 26Xcel521163516683.071%92%86%
9MXZ-SM48NAMHZ2MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC · Smart MultiAlso sold as Trane / Mitsubishi Electric NTXMSH48A182B; also listed as PUMY-HP48NKMU2Mitsubishi Electric4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted87%2.0011.547,00023.013.1CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC321101645882.073%74%99%
10MCY-MAP0487HS-UL*TOSHIBA CARRIER · MCY-MAP0487HS-UL*Carrier4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted79%2.6010.338,00022.613.2CEE 25CEE 26Xcel321335025082.059%100%88%

Non-ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons board

Download CSV of these cold-climate boardsEvery board above in one file, ranked by cold-climate score within each peer group.