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Top cold-climate picks: up to 1.5 tons, by duct type

Qualifies when its capacity retention at 5°F (capacity at 5°F as a share of capacity at 47°F) is at least 70% and Capacity retention at 5°F, COP at 5°F, HSPF2 are all rated. Score = the equal-weight mean of its peer percentiles on Capacity retention at 5°F, COP at 5°F, HSPF2 (share of the other models in its peer group it beats, 0–100), all from one certified pairing: in each duct type a model is sold in, its qualifying pairing of that type with the best score; equal scores (one decimal) go to the higher heating capacity at 5°F. COP at 5°F alone is not used: it is measured at whatever heat output the unit delivers at 5°F, so a unit with little output there can still post a high COP. The single-rating boards remain, each labelled as ranked by that one rating. Only manufacturers with a QMID (IRS Qualified Manufacturer ID) on file are ranked.

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Top cold-climate picks: Ducted, up to 1.5 tons

614 of 950 models in this size class qualify. 253 keep less than 70% of their heat at 5°F and 74 have no 5°F heat output rating, so they cannot show it. 264 of the qualifiers are from manufacturers with a QMID on file (the ranked pool).

Ducted, up to 1.5 tons: qualifiers ranked by cold-climate score (mean of the three peer percentiles); equal scores go to the higher heat output at 5°F. Every number in a row is from the pairing the score is computed on: in each duct type, the model’s best-scoring pairing that keeps at least 70% of its heat.
# · Outdoor modelManufacturerSize · typeCap. 5/47COP@5°FHSPF2Btu/h @5°FSEER2EER2MeetsCombosAHRI ref.ScoreBeats on Cap. 5/47Beats on COP@5°FBeats on HSPF2
1MOX430U-18HFN1-MMDV · MVBE serieswith ducted air handler MVBE-18HWFN1-MM3EMidea1.5 tons18,000 Btu/h · Ducted99%2.3010.818,80019.312.1CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC521315695186.983%84%94%
2SHV18H2R20INNOVAIR · SHV Serieswith ducted air handler WEV18H2R19Innovair1.5 tons18,000 Btu/h · Ducted99%2.3010.818,80019.312.1CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC421325559786.983%84%94%
3BZ33-INV18OUT2-JBreeze33 · BZ33 serieswith ducted air handler BZ33-WMAHU18-JBreeze331.5 tons18,000 Btu/h · Ducted99%2.3010.818,80019.312.1CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC221438956786.983%84%94%
4AOUH12LUAS1FUJITSU · H-Serieswith ducted air handler ARUH12LUASFujitsu1 ton12,000 Btu/h · Ducted129%2.0210.515,50019.112.5CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC320733430183.5100%62%89%
5RO1HHZ12AJ8SRUUD · Prestigewith ducted air handler RIMHHZ12AJ8SRheem1 ton12,000 Btu/h · Ducted129%2.0210.515,50019.112.5CEE 25CEE 26Xcel421082472483.5100%62%89%
6DLCSRBH18AAKMIDEA · DLC-serieswith ducted air handler DLFSDAH18XHKAlso sold as Carrier 38MARBQ18AA3, MDV MOX430-17HFN1-MT0W, Arcoaire DLCSRBH18AAK; also listed as 38MARBQ18AA3Midea1.5 tons17,500 Btu/h · Ducted95%2.2010.818,00018.012.1CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC1721113269781.375%76%94%
7LUU090HVLG · LUU090HVwith ducted air handler LHN098HV1LG1 ton9,000 Btu/h · Ducted81%2.3010.411,00016.011.8CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC321257884678.764%84%88%
8MPC009S4S-1PLENNOX · M serieswith ducted air handler MMDB009S4-*PAlso sold as AirEase 4DHPS209S-1PLennox1 ton9,000 Btu/h · Ducted85%2.4010.08,49919.212.5CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC1121103442377.667%88%78%
9SUZ-KA12NAHZ*Trane / Mitsubishi Electric · M-Serieswith ducted air handler TPEADA0121AA90AAlso listed as NTXSKH12A112Mitsubishi Electric1 ton12,000 Btu/h · Ducted100%2.0810.015,00020.614.1CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC221336213977.089%65%78%
10MLB009S4S-1PLENNOX · M serieswith ducted air handler MMDB009S4-2PLennox0.5 tons8,800 Btu/h · Ducted109%1.9012.010,90020.213.2CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC920768352475.899%31%98%

Ducted, up to 1.5 tons board

Top cold-climate picks: Non-ducted, up to 1.5 tons

1,581 of 2,704 models in this size class qualify. 826 keep less than 70% of their heat at 5°F and 285 have no 5°F heat output rating, so they cannot show it. 678 of the qualifiers are from manufacturers with a QMID on file (the ranked pool).

Non-ducted, up to 1.5 tons: qualifiers ranked by cold-climate score (mean of the three peer percentiles); equal scores go to the higher heat output at 5°F. Every number in a row is from the pairing the score is computed on: in each duct type, the model’s best-scoring pairing that keeps at least 70% of its heat.
# · Outdoor modelManufacturerSize · typeCap. 5/47COP@5°FHSPF2Btu/h @5°FSEER2EER2MeetsCombosAHRI ref.ScoreBeats on Cap. 5/47Beats on COP@5°FBeats on HSPF2
1NAXSPH06B112A*American Standard / Mitsubishi Electric · M-Serieswith ductless indoor unit NAXWPH06B112AAMitsubishi Electric0.5 tons6,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted121%2.4611.910,50032.219.1CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC220619581997.398%98%96%
2MUZ-FS06NA***Mitsubishi Electric · M-Serieswith ductless indoor unit MSZ-FS06NAAlso sold as Trane / Mitsubishi Electric NTXSPH06B112AMitsubishi Electric0.5 tons6,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted121%2.4611.910,50032.219.1CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC320983219997.398%98%96%
3AOUG12LZAS1FUJITSU · H-Serieswith ductless indoor unit ASUG12LZASFujitsu1 ton12,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted138%2.3212.916,60029.415.2CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC220474006896.999%93%98%
4AOUG15LZAS1FUJITSU · H-Serieswith ductless indoor unit ASUG15LZASFujitsu1 ton14,500 Btu/h · Non-ducted145%2.2412.821,00025.313.9CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC220474007096.1100%90%98%
5AOUH09LMAS1FUJITSU · H-Serieswith ductless indoor unit ASUH09LMASFujitsu1 ton9,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted113%2.3512.610,20026.514.3CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC120761568896.096%94%98%
6LAU090HYV3LG · LAU090HYV3with ductless indoor unit LAN090HYV3LG1 ton9,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted100%3.1313.511,00027.015.8CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC120482517795.488%100%98%
7DLCPRBH18AAKMIDEA · DLC-serieswith ductless indoor unit DLFPHBH18XAKAlso sold as MDV MOD30-18HFN1-MZ20W, Arcoaire DLCPRBH18AAK, Payne 38MPRBQ18AA3; also listed as 38MPRBQ18AA3Midea1.5 tons18,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted120%2.8911.024,00026.315.3CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC120782665095.097%99%88%
8MSH183G26MCAAGOODMAN · MSH Serieswith ductless indoor unit MSH183G26AXAADaikin1.5 tons18,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted120%2.8911.024,00026.315.3CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC121443812195.097%99%88%
9RO1HGZ15AJ1SRUUD · Prestigewith ductless indoor unit UIWHGZ15AJ1SRheem1 ton14,500 Btu/h · Non-ducted117%2.2412.821,00025.313.9CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOE221036810795.097%90%98%
10RO1HGZ12AJ1SRHEEM · Classic Pluswith ductless indoor unit RIWHGZ12AJ1SRheem1 ton12,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted104%2.3212.916,60029.415.2CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOE221036810294.592%93%98%

Non-ducted, up to 1.5 tons board

Download CSV of these cold-climate boardsEvery board above in one file, ranked by cold-climate score within each peer group.