Carrier heat pump efficiency: 701 outdoor models compared

Carrier has 701 heat pump outdoor models certified with this refrigerant group, in 367,101 AHRI-certified combinations. They are also sold as AIRQUEST, ARCOAIRE, BRYANT, BRYANT HEATING AND COOLING SYSTEMS, COMFORTMAKER, DAY & NIGHT, ECOTEMP, Grandaire and 11 more names. Each model is compared with models of the same size and duct type, so the scores below do not depend on which sizes Carrier makes. Ranks are among manufacturers with a QMID on file and at least 10 scored models.

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ManufacturerData as of Oct 9, 2026updated Oct 10, 2026 · sources

Outdoor models: 701
AHRI certifications: 367,101
Efficiency index: 47%; Typical model vs same-size, same-type peers (619 models)
Meet CEE 2025: 28.5%; 200 models

How Carrier compares with comparable models

For each rating: the share of same-size, same-type models that a typical model of this manufacturer beats (50% is typical), its rank, and the raw median for context. Raw medians are not comparable across manufacturers that make different sizes.

Carrier against every ranked manufacturerPeer scores, 0–100 · grey ticks: each ranked manufacturer · shaded: the middle half of Carrier’s own modelsCarrier is strongest on EER2 (its typical model beats 59% of comparable models) and weakest on capacity retention at 5°F (32%).

Carrier
Middle half of its models
Other ranked manufacturers

Source: AHRI Directory, NEEP · as of Oct 9, 2026

Average peer percentile of Carrier’s models
Rating	Beats comparable models	Rank	Raw median
Efficiency index619 models scored	47%	23rd of 27	—
COP at 5°F621 models scored	58%	8th of 27	2.00
Capacity retention at 5°F619 models scored	32%	27th of 27	53%
HSPF2715 models scored	38%	21st of 27	7.7
SEER2715 models scored	45%	20th of 27	15.5
EER2715 models scored	59%	6th of 27	11.5
Heating capacity at 5°F621 models scored	35%	27th of 27	18,300 Btu/h

Standards met

Share of Carrier’s models with at least one qualifying certification
Standard	Share	Models
CEE 2025 Tier 1 (Split ASHP)	28.5%	200
CEE 2026 Tier 1 (Split ASHP)	25.5%	179
CEE Advanced Tier (Split ASHP)	2%	14
Xcel Energy Colorado cold-climate ASHP (2025)	17.1%	120
DOE Cold Climate Heat Pump Challenge	2%	14
ENERGY STAR Cold Climate	8.8%	62

Sizes and duct types offered

Models per peer group, and how they score against the other models of that group.

Carrier’s models inside each size and duct typeShape: every model of the group · blue: the middle half of this manufacturer’s models there, median dot, 10th–90th percentile line

Carrier (median, middle 50%, 10th–90th)
All models of the group

Source: AHRI Directory · as of Oct 9, 2026

Share of comparable models beaten, per peer group
Size and duct type	Models	Index	COP@5°F	HSPF2	SEER2
Ducted, up to 1.5 tons	34	48%	68%	38%	37%
Ducted, 2 tons	100	47%	62%	38%	45%
Ducted, 2.5–3 tons	195	47%	58%	34%	43%
Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	256	43%	54%	32%	39%
Ducted, 5 tons and up	67	60%	60%	47%	57%
Non-ducted, up to 1.5 tons	42	55%	61%	61%	54%
Non-ducted, 2 tons	9	53%	58%	57%	57%
Non-ducted, 2.5–3 tons	31	52%	56%	49%	53%
Non-ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	17	48%	63%	46%	47%
Non-ducted, 5 tons and up	1	86%	87%	100%	100%

Every Carrier model in the market

Carrier’s 752 models with a known size and duct type, over the shape of the whole catalog.

Carrier models by size and ratingColoured: Carrier · grey shapes: all 11,475 models · lines: catalog medians by size

Carrier models
Ducted median by size
Non-ducted median by size
Every model at each size (width = count)
Standard threshold

Dots: 752 carrier models, each through its representative certification, in the colour of the rating shown. The grey shapes count all 11,475 models, half a ton at a time.

Show the data as a table

COP at 5°F by size and duct type (every model, by rated cooling capacity)
Duct type, size	Models	10th pct.	25th	Median	75th	90th
Ducted, 0.5 tons	175	1.70	1.85	1.90	2.10	2.26
Ducted, 1 ton	340	1.85	1.90	2.00	2.40	2.65
Ducted, 1.5 tons	789	1.75	1.85	2.00	2.20	2.55
Ducted, 2 tons	782	1.73	1.80	2.00	2.10	2.33
Ducted, 2.5 tons	735	1.71	1.80	1.90	2.09	2.48
Ducted, 3 tons	652	1.68	1.70	1.90	2.06	2.36
Ducted, 3.5 tons	641	1.61	1.80	1.95	2.20	2.50
Ducted, 4 tons	367	1.70	1.80	1.91	2.02	2.52
Ducted, 4.5 tons	544	1.70	1.80	1.91	2.08	2.34
Ducted, 5 tons	25	1.80	1.80	1.90	1.90	2.15
Non-ducted, 0.5 tons	717	1.75	1.81	1.97	2.10	2.19
Non-ducted, 1 ton	1,064	1.75	1.80	1.90	2.07	2.25
Non-ducted, 1.5 tons	886	1.80	1.80	1.87	2.07	2.21
Non-ducted, 2 tons	564	1.80	1.80	1.83	2.04	2.21
Non-ducted, 2.5 tons	275	1.80	1.81	1.84	1.86	2.03
Non-ducted, 3 tons	502	1.80	1.80	1.90	2.00	2.09
Non-ducted, 3.5 tons	70	1.82	1.83	1.90	2.00	2.28
Non-ducted, 4 tons	263	1.80	1.80	1.98	2.00	2.10
Non-ducted, 4.5 tons	103	1.77	1.77	1.80	1.97	2.02
Non-ducted, 5 tons	29	1.98	2.00	2.10	2.30	2.47

Source: AHRI Directory · as of Oct 9, 2026

Top Carrier models

Its top five cold-climate picks and its top five all-around models across sizes (both scores compare each model with models of its own size and duct type, so sizes compare), then, on each single rating, the model that beats the largest share of comparable models.

Cold-climate picks

Top 5 Carrier cold-climate picks across sizes. Qualifies when its capacity retention at 5°F (capacity at 5°F as a share of capacity at 47°F) is at least 70% and Capacity retention at 5°F, COP at 5°F, HSPF2 are all rated. Score = the equal-weight mean of its peer percentiles on Capacity retention at 5°F, COP at 5°F, HSPF2 (share of the other models in its peer group it beats, 0–100), all from one certified pairing: in each duct type a model is sold in, its qualifying pairing of that type with the best score; equal scores (one decimal) go to the higher heating capacity at 5°F.
# · Outdoor model	Size · type	Cap. 5/47	COP@5°F	HSPF2	Btu/h @5°F	SEER2	Meets	Combos	AHRI ref.	Compared with	Score
138MURAQ36AB3*BRYANT HEATING AND COOLING SYSTEMSwith indoor coil H,PG48936 and furnace 927TA60080V21	3 tons38,500 Btu/h · Ducted	115%	2.34	11.5	41,500	18.0	CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOE	4,874	216761988	Ducted, 2.5–3 tons	96.4
238MURAQ24AB3*BRYANT HEATING AND COOLING SYSTEMSwith indoor coil H,PG7J936 and furnace 927TA48060V17	2 tons25,200 Btu/h · Ducted	147%	2.72	10.5	35,200	18.0	CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOE	4,576	216761973	Ducted, 2 tons	95.9
338MURAQ30AB3*BRYANT HEATING AND COOLING SYSTEMSwith indoor coil H,PG9J936 and furnace 927TA60080V21	3 tons33,600 Btu/h · Ducted	125%	2.24	10.5	37,600	17.0	CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOE	3,793	216779046	Ducted, 2.5–3 tons	95.1
4DLCPRBH18AAKARCOAIRE · DLC-serieswith ductless indoor unit DLFPHBH18XAKAlso sold as Payne 38MPRBQ18AA3	1.5 tons18,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted	120%	2.89	11.0	24,000	26.3	CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC	9	207826644	Non-ducted, up to 1.5 tons	95.0
5MCY-MAP0607HS-ULTOSHIBA CARRIER · MCY-MAP0607HS-UL	5 tons60,000 Btu/h · Ducted	78%	2.20	9.8	46,500	18.4	CEE 25CEE 26Xcel	3	213350251	Ducted, 5 tons and up	91.5

All-around best

Top 5 Carrier models on the all-around score across sizes. Score = 50% heating, the mean of its peer percentiles on COP at 5°F, Capacity retention at 5°F, HSPF2, plus 50% cooling, the mean of its peer percentiles on SEER2 and EER2 (share of the other models in its peer group it beats, 0–100). All five ratings are required; there is no minimum heat kept at 5°F. In each duct type a model is sold in, it is scored on its pairing of that type with the best score; equal scores (one decimal) go to the higher cold-climate score, then the higher heating capacity at 5°F.
# · Outdoor model	Size · type	Cap. 5/47	COP@5°F	HSPF2	SEER2	EER2	Meets	Combos	AHRI ref.	Compared with	Score	Heating half	Cooling half	Cold-climate score
1DLCPRBH18AAKARCOAIRE · DLC-serieswith ductless indoor unit DLFPHBH18XAKAlso sold as Payne 38MPRBQ18AA3	1.5 tons18,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted	120%	2.89	11.0	26.3	15.3	CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC	9	207826644	Non-ducted, up to 1.5 tons	93.6	95.0	92.1	95.0
225VNA448A031CARRIER · INFINITY 24 HP with GREENSPEED INTELLIGENCEwith ducted air handler FE4BNBD60L+UIAlso sold as Bryant Heating and Cooling Systems 284ANV0480**B	4 tons46,000 Btu/h · Ducted	78%	2.48	9.5	22.0	13.0	CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC	224	213361591	Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	92.1	84.5	99.7	86.2
338MARBQ06AA3PAYNE · 38MAR-serieswith ductless indoor unit DHMAHBQ06XA3Also sold as Arcoaire DLCSRBH06AAK	0.5 tons6,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted	107%	2.09	13.6	26.5	15.8	CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC	8	207188935	Non-ducted, up to 1.5 tons	92.0	89.3	94.7	89.3
425VNA460A031CARRIER · INFINITY 24 HP with GREENSPEED INTELLIGENCEwith ducted air handler FE4BNBD60L*+UI	5 tons58,000 Btu/h · Ducted	64%	2.22	8.5	20.5	13.0	CEE 25CEE 26	79	213361593	Ducted, 5 tons and up	91.6	83.3	99.8	Not a pick
5284ANV0600BBRYANT HEATING AND COOLING SYSTEMS · EVOLUTION Extreme 24 HPwith ducted air handler FE4BNBD60L*+UI	5 tons58,000 Btu/h · Ducted	63%	2.20	8.5	20.5	13.0	CEE 25CEE 26	94	213361594	Ducted, 5 tons and up	91.3	82.8	99.8	Not a pick

Best model on each rating

Carrier’s model with the highest peer percentile on each rating, ranked by that one rating only
Rating	Model	Value	Compared with	Beats	AHRI ref.
COP at 5°F	MCY-MAP0367HS-UL*	2.70	Non-ducted, 2.5–3 tons	100%	213350249
Capacity retention at 5°F	WDLCURAH18ABK	160%	Ducted, up to 1.5 tons	100%	212984768
HSPF2	38MPRBQ09AA3Also sold as Arcoaire DLCPRBH09AAK	15.0	Non-ducted, up to 1.5 tons	100%	213214827
SEER2	MCY-MAP0607HS-UL*	23.1	Non-ducted, 5 tons and up	100%	213350252
EER2	T4H5S42KAAA*	13.5	Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	100%	213088676
Heating capacity at 5°F	38MURAQ60AB3*Also sold as Grandaire WDLCURAH60ABK	96,220 Btu/h	Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	100%	211289628

All 701 Carrier models in Explore

Carrier size class by size class: cold-climate and all-around

Its best model on each board in every size and duct type it makes. Both scores are 0–100 against every model of that size class (the line on each bar is 50, the typical model there). Cold-climate picks must keep at least 70% of their heat at 5°F; the all-around score needs all five ratings and has no such bar.

Carrier: best cold-climate pick and best all-around model per size and duct type, with how many of its models are on each board (top 5 and 5 per class are in the snapshot)
Size and duct type	Cold-climate pickCold-climate score, best model	All-around bestAll-around score, best model
Ducted, up to 1.5 tons	81.3(50 is the typical model of its size class)38MARBQ18AA3with ducted air handler 40MBDAQ18XH3Also sold as Arcoaire DLCSRBH18AAK21 of 33 models qualify · AHRI 211132918	85.2(50 is the typical model of its size class)38MARBQ09AA3with ducted air handler 40MBDQ09---3Also sold as Arcoaire DLCSRBH09AAK32 of 33 models have all five ratings · AHRI 206350328
Ducted, 2 tons	95.9(50 is the typical model of its size class)38MURAQ24AB3*with indoor coil H,PG7J936 and furnace 927TA48060V1735 of 99 models qualify · AHRI 216761973	88.8(50 is the typical model of its size class)25VNA424A031with indoor coil CAP*3721AL+UI and furnace 58TNA090C1716Also sold as Bryant Heating and Cooling Systems 284ANV0240**B90 of 92 models have all five ratings · AHRI 210533008
Ducted, 2.5–3 tons	96.4(50 is the typical model of its size class)38MURAQ36AB3*with indoor coil H,PG48936 and furnace 927TA60080V2143 of 197 models qualify · AHRI 216761988	91.0(50 is the typical model of its size class)MCY-MAP0367HS-UL162 of 203 models have all five ratings · AHRI 10049878
Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	87.7(50 is the typical model of its size class)MCY-MAP0487HS-UL*26 of 256 models qualify · AHRI 213350254	92.1(50 is the typical model of its size class)25VNA448A031with ducted air handler FE4BNBD60L+UIAlso sold as Bryant Heating and Cooling Systems 284ANV0480**B201 of 253 models have all five ratings · AHRI 213361591
Ducted, 5 tons and up	91.5(50 is the typical model of its size class)MCY-MAP0607HS-UL*1 of 67 models qualify · AHRI 213350251	91.6(50 is the typical model of its size class)25VNA460A031with ducted air handler FE4BNBD60L*+UI40 of 71 models have all five ratings · AHRI 213361593
Non-ducted, up to 1.5 tons	95.0(50 is the typical model of its size class)DLCPRBH18AAKwith ductless indoor unit DLFPHBH18XAKAlso sold as Payne 38MPRBQ18AA324 of 42 models qualify · AHRI 207826644	93.6(50 is the typical model of its size class)DLCPRBH18AAKwith ductless indoor unit DLFPHBH18XAKAlso sold as Payne 38MPRBQ18AA342 of 42 models have all five ratings · AHRI 207826644
Non-ducted, 2 tons	86.1(50 is the typical model of its size class)38MARBQ24AA3with ductless indoor unit 40MBCAQ24XA3Also sold as Arcoaire DLCSRBH24AAK5 of 9 models qualify · AHRI 207683292	84.3(50 is the typical model of its size class)38MARBQ24AA3with ductless indoor unit 40MAHBQ24XA3Also sold as Arcoaire DLCSRBH24AAK9 of 9 models have all five ratings · AHRI 206348138
Non-ducted, 2.5–3 tons	85.9(50 is the typical model of its size class)MCY-MAP0367HS-UL*7 of 31 models qualify · AHRI 213350255	90.0(50 is the typical model of its size class)RAV-SP302AT2P-ULwith ductless indoor unit RAV-SM302UTP-UL27 of 31 models have all five ratings · AHRI 208447324
Non-ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	82.0(50 is the typical model of its size class)MCY-MAP0487HS-UL*11 of 17 models qualify · AHRI 213350250	87.5(50 is the typical model of its size class)MCY-MAP0487HS-UL*17 of 17 models have all five ratings · AHRI 213350250
Non-ducted, 5 tons and up	89.2(50 is the typical model of its size class)MCY-MAP0607HS-UL*1 of 1 models qualify · AHRI 213350252	85.8(50 is the typical model of its size class)MCY-MAP0607HS-UL*1 of 1 models have all five ratings · AHRI 213350252

All-around board, every manufacturer

Newest Carrier certifications

By AHRI reference number; AHRI issues references in increasing order.

The 5 most recently certified Carrier outdoor models
Outdoor model	Size · type	COP@5°F	Cap. 5/47	HSPF2	SEER2	Meets	Combos	AHRI ref.
38MURAQ36AB3CARRIERwith ducted air handler (H,P)E32936+TD	3 tons33,800 Btu/h · Ducted	1.78	87%	8.2	15.2	CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC	55	218401503
38MURAQ30AB3CARRIERwith ducted air handler (H,P)E32936+TD	2.5 tons29,000 Btu/h · Ducted	1.78	89%	9.0	15.2	CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC	58	218401502
38MURAQ24AB3CARRIERwith ducted air handler (H,P)E30924+TD	2 tons24,000 Btu/h · Ducted	1.88	82%	9.1	16.0	CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC	60	218401500
38MURAQ18AB3CARRIERwith ducted air handler (H,P)E20924+TD	1.5 tons17,100 Btu/h · Ducted	2.02	81%	8.7	15.2	CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC	28	218401494
38MURAQ30AB3CARRIERwith indoor coil (H,P)E35936 and furnace 59TP6C060V14*12	2.5 tons29,000 Btu/h · Ducted	1.80	90%	8.0	14.5	CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOE	3,793	218401493

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Compare Carrier

Manufacturers of a similar size, side by side.

Compare with any manufacturer

Carrier includes these brand names as listed in AHRI: AIRQUEST, ARCOAIRE, BRYANT, BRYANT HEATING AND COOLING SYSTEMS, CARRIER, COMFORTMAKER, DAY & NIGHT, ECOTEMP, Grandaire, HEIL, ICP COMMERCIAL, KEEPRITE, KENMORE, MARATHERM, PAYNE, PAYNE HEATING AND COOLING, SMART COMFORT, TEMPSTAR, TOSHIBA CARRIER, Weathermaker. Standards are checked against published thresholds; program rules beyond ratings are not checked.