Sinclair heat pump efficiency: 17 outdoor models compared

Sinclair has 17 heat pump outdoor models certified with this refrigerant group, in 239 AHRI-certified combinations. Each model is compared with models of the same size and duct type, so the scores below do not depend on which sizes Sinclair makes. Sinclair has no QMID (IRS Qualified Manufacturer ID) on file, so it is not ranked against other manufacturers.

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ManufacturerData as of Oct 9, 2026updated Oct 10, 2026 · sources

Outdoor models: 17
AHRI certifications: 239
Efficiency index: 26%; Typical model vs same-size, same-type peers (17 models)
Meet CEE 2025: 0%; 0 models

How Sinclair compares with comparable models

For each rating: the share of same-size, same-type models that a typical model of this manufacturer beats (50% is typical), its rank, and the raw median for context. Raw medians are not comparable across manufacturers that make different sizes.

Sinclair against every ranked manufacturerPeer scores, 0–100 · grey ticks: each ranked manufacturer · shaded: the middle half of Sinclair’s own modelsSinclair is strongest on COP at 5°F (its typical model beats 45% of comparable models) and weakest on SEER2 (13%).

Sinclair
Middle half of its models
Other ranked manufacturers

Source: AHRI Directory, NEEP · as of Oct 9, 2026

Average peer percentile of Sinclair’s models
Rating	Beats comparable models	Rank	Raw median
Efficiency index17 models scored	26%	Not ranked	—
COP at 5°F17 models scored	45%	Not ranked	1.84
Capacity retention at 5°F17 models scored	14%	Not ranked	41%
HSPF217 models scored	14%	Not ranked	6.7
SEER217 models scored	13%	Not ranked	13.4
EER217 models scored	44%	Not ranked	11.2
Heating capacity at 5°F17 models scored	22%	Not ranked	17,100 Btu/h

Standards met

Share of Sinclair’s models with at least one qualifying certification
Standard	Share	Models
CEE 2025 Tier 1 (Split ASHP)	0%	0
CEE 2026 Tier 1 (Split ASHP)	0%	0
CEE Advanced Tier (Split ASHP)	0%	0
Xcel Energy Colorado cold-climate ASHP (2025)	0%	0
DOE Cold Climate Heat Pump Challenge	0%	0
ENERGY STAR Cold Climate	0%	0

Sizes and duct types offered

Models per peer group, and how they score against the other models of that group.

Sinclair’s models inside each size and duct typeShape: every model of the group · blue: the middle half of this manufacturer’s models there, median dot, 10th–90th percentile line

Sinclair (median, middle 50%, 10th–90th)
All models of the group

Source: AHRI Directory · as of Oct 9, 2026

Share of comparable models beaten, per peer group
Size and duct type	Models	Index	COP@5°F	HSPF2	SEER2
Ducted, up to 1.5 tons	2	32%	82%	14%	22%
Ducted, 2 tons	3	19%	31%	10%	8%
Ducted, 2.5–3 tons	5	26%	41%	16%	13%
Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	7	28%	44%	14%	13%

Every Sinclair model in the market

Sinclair’s 17 models with a known size and duct type, over the shape of the whole catalog.

Sinclair models by size and ratingColoured: Sinclair · grey shapes: all 14,508 models · lines: catalog medians by size

Sinclair models
Ducted median by size
Non-ducted median by size
Every model at each size (width = count)
Standard threshold

Dots: 17 sinclair models, each through its representative certification, in the colour of the rating shown. The grey shapes count all 14,508 models, half a ton at a time.

Show the data as a table

COP at 5°F by size and duct type (every model, by rated cooling capacity)
Duct type, size	Models	10th pct.	25th	Median	75th	90th
Ducted, 0.5 tons	826	1.64	1.71	1.75	1.85	2.24
Ducted, 1 ton	407	1.80	1.90	2.05	2.41	2.45
Ducted, 1.5 tons	992	1.75	1.86	2.00	2.17	2.40
Ducted, 2 tons	999	1.75	1.86	2.00	2.18	2.30
Ducted, 2.5 tons	1,040	1.70	1.80	2.00	2.10	2.36
Ducted, 3 tons	696	1.80	1.90	2.00	2.10	2.42
Ducted, 3.5 tons	864	1.70	1.80	2.00	2.10	2.46
Ducted, 4 tons	727	1.80	1.86	2.00	2.12	2.40
Ducted, 4.5 tons	690	1.70	1.80	1.90	2.10	2.20
Ducted, 5 tons	86	1.89	2.00	2.10	2.10	2.10
Non-ducted, 0.5 tons	1,186	1.75	1.80	1.90	2.00	2.22
Non-ducted, 1 ton	1,343	1.80	1.80	1.99	2.10	2.21
Non-ducted, 1.5 tons	1,261	1.80	1.80	2.00	2.10	2.31
Non-ducted, 2 tons	761	1.80	1.98	2.00	2.10	2.30
Non-ducted, 2.5 tons	403	1.80	1.85	2.00	2.00	2.10
Non-ducted, 3 tons	473	1.90	1.98	2.00	2.03	2.20
Non-ducted, 3.5 tons	280	2.00	2.00	2.00	2.05	2.10
Non-ducted, 4 tons	204	1.96	2.00	2.05	2.10	2.11
Non-ducted, 4.5 tons	78	1.90	1.91	1.95	2.01	2.01
Non-ducted, 5 tons	84	1.99	2.00	2.05	2.20	2.20

Source: AHRI Directory · as of Oct 9, 2026

Top Sinclair models

Its top five cold-climate picks and its top five all-around models across sizes (both scores compare each model with models of its own size and duct type, so sizes compare), then, on each single rating, the model that beats the largest share of comparable models.

Cold-climate picks

No Sinclair model keeps at least 70% of its heat at 5°F with all three cold-climate ratings.

All-around best

Top 5 Sinclair models on the all-around score across sizes. Score = 50% heating, the mean of its peer percentiles on COP at 5°F, Capacity retention at 5°F, HSPF2, plus 50% cooling, the mean of its peer percentiles on SEER2 and EER2 (share of the other models in its peer group it beats, 0–100). All five ratings are required; there is no minimum heat kept at 5°F. In each duct type a model is sold in, it is scored on its pairing of that type with the best score; equal scores (one decimal) go to the higher cold-climate score, then the higher heating capacity at 5°F.
# · Outdoor model	Size · type	Cap. 5/47	COP@5°F	HSPF2	SEER2	EER2	Meets	Combos	AHRI ref.	Compared with	Score	Heating half	Cooling half	Cold-climate score
1SHP0422301152SNCXFC454BSinclair · XFwith ducted air handler AHU060021MESNCXF454B	3.5 tons41,500 Btu/h · Ducted	50%	2.30	7.8	15.2	12.0	None	36	217127871	Ducted, 2.5–3 tons	57.1	50.1	64.2	Not a pick
2SHP0482301152SNCXFC454BSinclair · XFwith ducted air handler AHU060021MESNCXF454B	4 tons45,000 Btu/h · Ducted	49%	2.28	7.8	15.2	12.0	None	19	217127872	Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	56.6	49.0	64.2	Not a pick
3SHP0362301152SNCXFC454BSinclair · XFwith ducted air handler AHU060021MESNCXF454B	3 tons35,600 Btu/h · Ducted	49%	2.26	7.8	15.2	12.0	None	38	217127870	Ducted, 2.5–3 tons	52.8	48.8	56.9	Not a pick
4SHP0302301152SNCXFC454BSinclair · XFwith ducted air handler AHU060021MESNCXF454B	2.5 tons28,000 Btu/h · Ducted	47%	2.08	7.8	15.2	12.0	None	53	217127869	Ducted, 2 tons	49.5	42.0	56.9	Not a pick
5SHP0602301152SNCXFC454BSinclairwith ducted air handler AE*L+CM59A4J+TDR	4 tons48,500 Btu/h · Ducted	58%	2.33	7.5	14.3	11.2	None	3	218334761	Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	44.9	50.7	39.2	Not a pick

Best model on each rating

Sinclair’s model with the highest peer percentile on each rating, ranked by that one rating only
Rating	Model	Value	Compared with	Beats	AHRI ref.
COP at 5°F	SHP0482301152SNCXFC454B	2.55	Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	95%	218334762
Capacity retention at 5°F	SHP0482301152SNCXFC454B	59%	Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	33%	218334762
HSPF2	SHP0422301152SNCXFC454B	7.8	Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	38%	217127871
SEER2	SHP0422301152SNCXFC454B	15.2	Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	35%	217127871
EER2	SHP0422301152SNCXFC454B	12.0	Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	83%	217127871
Heating capacity at 5°F	SHP0242301152SNCXFC454B	12,700 Btu/h	Ducted, up to 1.5 tons	71%	218338287

All 17 Sinclair models in Explore

Sinclair size class by size class: cold-climate and all-around

Its best model on each board in every size and duct type it makes. Both scores are 0–100 against every model of that size class (the line on each bar is 50, the typical model there). Cold-climate picks must keep at least 70% of their heat at 5°F; the all-around score needs all five ratings and has no such bar.

Sinclair: best cold-climate pick and best all-around model per size and duct type, with how many of its models are on each board (top 5 and 5 per class are in the snapshot)
Size and duct type	Cold-climate pickCold-climate score, best model	All-around bestAll-around score, best model
Ducted, up to 1.5 tons	None on this board (0 of 2 models qualify)	37.2(50 is the typical model of its size class)SHP0182301152SNCXFC454Bwith ducted air handler AHU036175MESNCXF454B1 of 1 models have all five ratings · AHRI 217127865
Ducted, 2 tons	None on this board (0 of 3 models qualify)	40.5(50 is the typical model of its size class)SHP0242301152SNCXFC454Bwith ducted air handler AHU030175WESNCXF454B3 of 3 models have all five ratings · AHRI 217127855
Ducted, 2.5–3 tons	None on this board (0 of 5 models qualify)	52.8(50 is the typical model of its size class)SHP0362301152SNCXFC454Bwith ducted air handler AHU060021MESNCXF454B5 of 5 models have all five ratings · AHRI 217127870
Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons	None on this board (0 of 7 models qualify)	57.1(50 is the typical model of its size class)SHP0422301152SNCXFC454Bwith ducted air handler AHU060021MESNCXF454B8 of 8 models have all five ratings · AHRI 217127871

All-around board, every manufacturer

Newest Sinclair certifications

By AHRI reference number; AHRI issues references in increasing order.

The 5 most recently certified Sinclair outdoor models
Outdoor model	Size · type	COP@5°F	Cap. 5/47	HSPF2	SEER2	Meets	Combos	AHRI ref.
SHP0182301152SNCXFC454BSinclair · XFwith indoor coil COI042021MSNCXFTY454B and furnace FUR080021M801ESNCXFN	1.5 tons18,000 Btu/h · Ducted	1.78	44%	7.5	14.3	None	38	218631938
SHP0482301152SNCXFC454BSinclair · XFwith indoor coil COI060021MSNCXFTY454B and furnace FUR100021U962ESNCXFN	3.5 tons44,000 Btu/h · Ducted	2.20	50%	7.5	14.3	None	19	218631937
SHP0422301152SNCXFC454BSinclair · XFwith indoor coil COI060021MSNCXFTY454B and furnace FUR100021U962ESNCXFN	3.5 tons40,000 Btu/h · Ducted	2.20	52%	7.5	14.3	None	36	218631930
SHP0362301152SNCXFC454BSinclair · XFwith indoor coil COI048021MSNCXFTY454B and furnace FUR080021U962ESNCXFN	3 tons34,200 Btu/h · Ducted	2.12	49%	7.5	14.3	None	38	218631915
SHP0302301152SNCXFC454BSinclair · XFwith indoor coil COI048021MSNCXFTY454B and furnace FUR100021U962ESNCXFN	2.5 tons28,000 Btu/h · Ducted	1.96	47%	7.5	14.3	None	53	218631901

Shares hardware with

Manufacturers whose models are the same equipment under another badge. About OEM families

No shared hardware found for Sinclair in this group.

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Manufacturers of a similar size, side by side.

Compare with any manufacturer

Sinclair includes these brand names as listed in AHRI: Sinclair. Standards are checked against published thresholds; program rules beyond ratings are not checked.