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Top cold-climate picks: ducted, up to 1.5 tons

Qualifies when its capacity retention at 5°F (capacity at 5°F as a share of capacity at 47°F) is at least 70% and Capacity retention at 5°F, COP at 5°F, HSPF2 are all rated. Score = the equal-weight mean of its peer percentiles on Capacity retention at 5°F, COP at 5°F, HSPF2 (share of the other models in its peer group it beats, 0–100), all from one certified pairing: in each duct type a model is sold in, its qualifying pairing of that type with the best score; equal scores (one decimal) go to the higher heating capacity at 5°F. COP at 5°F alone is not used: it is measured at whatever heat output the unit delivers at 5°F, so a unit with little output there can still post a high COP. The single-rating boards remain, each labelled as ranked by that one rating. Only manufacturers with a QMID (IRS Qualified Manufacturer ID) on file are ranked.

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Top cold-climate picks: Ducted, up to 1.5 tons

1,420 of 1,824 models in this size class qualify. 361 keep less than 70% of their heat at 5°F and 42 have no 5°F heat output rating, so they cannot show it. 412 of the qualifiers are from manufacturers with a QMID on file (the ranked pool).

Ducted, up to 1.5 tons: qualifiers ranked by cold-climate score (mean of the three peer percentiles); equal scores go to the higher heat output at 5°F. Every number in a row is from the pairing the score is computed on: in each duct type, the model’s best-scoring pairing that keeps at least 70% of its heat.
# · Outdoor modelManufacturerSize · typeCap. 5/47COP@5°FHSPF2Btu/h @5°FSEER2EER2MeetsCombosAHRI ref.ScoreBeats on Cap. 5/47Beats on COP@5°FBeats on HSPF2
137MAHAQ06AA3CARRIER · 45M Serieswith ducted air handler 45MBDAQ06XA3Also sold as Midea 37MAHAQ06AA3, Midea D5CSHAH06AAK, MDV MOX230-06HFN10-M1X, Arcoaire D5CSHAH06AAKCarrier0.5 tons6,500 Btu/h · Ducted98%2.4113.87,80021.514.5CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC1321532379893.589%92%99%
2DRA1H06S2ADurastar · DRA Serieswith ducted air handler DRADL0612F2ADurastar0.5 tons6,500 Btu/h · Ducted98%2.4113.87,80021.414.4CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC321535924493.589%92%99%
3MO1HS-H06B-2AMIDEA · MDL Serieswith ducted air handler MDLHU-H06B-2AMidea0.5 tons6,500 Btu/h · Ducted98%2.4113.87,80021.414.4CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC321547141193.589%92%99%
4BMS626HHYCBLUERIDGE · BMS Serieswith ducted air handler BMC6LCDBlueRidge0.5 tons6,500 Btu/h · Ducted98%2.4113.87,80021.414.4CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC321585393893.589%92%99%
5CH-RHP06F9-230VOCooper&Hunter · CH Serieswith ducted air handler CH-RS06MDT-MSCooper&Hunter0.5 tons6,500 Btu/h · Ducted98%2.4113.87,80021.414.4CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC721586421293.589%92%99%
6ML06HP230NEXH-OMAINLINE · ML Serieswith ducted air handler ML06HP230LSDUC-IRheem0.5 tons6,500 Btu/h · Ducted98%2.4113.87,80021.414.4CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC621586437393.589%92%99%
737MUHAQ18AA3BRYANT HEATING AND COOLING SYSTEMSwith indoor coil DM36A3J+TDR and furnace 8(0,1)*SB36070M17Carrier1.5 tons16,800 Btu/h · Ducted95%3.0010.816,00014.811.2CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC1,61821807631292.988%100%91%
85TWV0X24A1TRANEwith indoor coil D(A,C,E)36C3J+TDR and furnace S8V2B060M4PCBTrane1.5 tons19,800 Btu/h · Ducted122%2.9910.027,00021.211.7CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC18521679426292.5100%100%79%
9RD18AY24AJVCRHEEMwith indoor coil D(A,C,E)36A3J+TDR and furnace R951V0403A17UHRheem1.5 tons20,200 Btu/h · Ducted116%2.6010.023,60018.011.0CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC54721882745391.699%98%79%
105A6V0X24A1AMERICAN STANDARDwith indoor coil D(A,C,E)24B4J+TDR and furnace L8V1A060U3VSB+LRPTrane1.5 tons19,500 Btu/h · Ducted98%2.9310.021,80021.011.2CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC16721711712889.290%99%79%

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How the cold-climate score works