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Top cold-climate picks: 3.5–4.5 tons, by duct type

Qualifies when its capacity retention at 5°F (capacity at 5°F as a share of capacity at 47°F) is at least 70% and Capacity retention at 5°F, COP at 5°F, HSPF2 are all rated. Score = the equal-weight mean of its peer percentiles on Capacity retention at 5°F, COP at 5°F, HSPF2 (share of the other models in its peer group it beats, 0–100), all from one certified pairing: in each duct type a model is sold in, its qualifying pairing of that type with the best score; equal scores (one decimal) go to the higher heating capacity at 5°F. COP at 5°F alone is not used: it is measured at whatever heat output the unit delivers at 5°F, so a unit with little output there can still post a high COP. The single-rating boards remain, each labelled as ranked by that one rating. Only manufacturers with a QMID (IRS Qualified Manufacturer ID) on file are ranked.

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Top cold-climate picks: Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons

1,258 of 2,581 models in this size class qualify. 944 keep less than 70% of their heat at 5°F and 379 have no 5°F heat output rating, so they cannot show it. 621 of the qualifiers are from manufacturers with a QMID on file (the ranked pool).

Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons: qualifiers ranked by cold-climate score (mean of the three peer percentiles); equal scores go to the higher heat output at 5°F. Every number in a row is from the pairing the score is computed on: in each duct type, the model’s best-scoring pairing that keeps at least 70% of its heat.
# · Outdoor modelManufacturerSize · typeCap. 5/47COP@5°FHSPF2Btu/h @5°FSEER2EER2MeetsCombosAHRI ref.ScoreBeats on Cap. 5/47Beats on COP@5°FBeats on HSPF2
1RD18AY48AJVCRHEEMwith indoor coil D(A,C,E)60B4J+TDR and furnace R801V0754A17DZRheem3.5 tons39,000 Btu/h · Ducted125%2.8010.050,00017.09.8CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC1,02221882754995.2100%99%87%
25TWV0X48A1TRANEwith indoor coil D(A,C,E)60B4J+TDR and furnace S9V2D120U5PSC+LRPTrane3.5 tons41,500 Btu/h · Ducted108%2.819.549,50020.211.7CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC20721679459693.0100%99%81%
3BOVA-60MTB-M19EBOSCHwith ducted air handler AE*L+DM60B4Z+TXV+TDRBosch4 tons49,000 Btu/h · Ducted120%2.479.564,00019.011.7CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC16021869351890.9100%92%81%
4SL22KLV-060-230A**LENNOXwith indoor coil D(A,C,E)60D3J+TDR and furnace SLP99UH110XV60CLennox4.5 tons52,500 Btu/h · Ducted115%3.099.060,00020.011.2CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC19921744391890.8100%100%73%
5KUMXA481ALG · KUMXA481ALG4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Ducted100%2.3310.052,50018.512.6CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC321540863790.495%89%87%
6HH860E2S11COLEMANwith ducted air handler DM59A4K+JMC20D2SN1+TDRYork3.5 tons43,000 Btu/h · Ducted108%2.889.036,60019.011.7CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC9,22721802626990.4100%99%73%
7H5H0V48*K*AAA*HEILwith indoor coil D(A,C,E)61A3J+TDR and furnace *80CSU0802120ACarrier3.5 tons43,000 Btu/h · Ducted103%2.709.050,00018.09.0CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC1,21021837271489.7100%97%73%
8KUMXA421ALG · KUMXA421ALG3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Ducted100%2.2710.048,00019.013.1CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC321540234889.395%85%87%
9GUD60W2/NHE-D(U)GREE · E Serieswith ducted air handler HND60A/NHA-OGree4.5 tons53,000 Btu/h · Ducted100%2.2010.554,00018.511.0CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC1321804337188.795%80%91%
10FXU60HP230V1R32AOGREE · E Serieswith ducted air handler FXA60HPDV1R32AHAlso sold as Tosot TUH60-48D32E2O; also listed as HW60/NHE-DGree4.5 tons53,000 Btu/h · Ducted100%2.2010.554,00018.011.0CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC821863194588.795%80%91%

Ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons board

Top cold-climate picks: Non-ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons

497 of 569 models in this size class qualify. 69 keep less than 70% of their heat at 5°F and 2 have no 5°F heat output rating, so they cannot show it. 238 of the qualifiers are from manufacturers with a QMID on file (the ranked pool).

Non-ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons: qualifiers ranked by cold-climate score (mean of the three peer percentiles); equal scores go to the higher heat output at 5°F. Every number in a row is from the pairing the score is computed on: in each duct type, the model’s best-scoring pairing that keeps at least 70% of its heat.
# · Outdoor modelManufacturerSize · typeCap. 5/47COP@5°FHSPF2Btu/h @5°FSEER2EER2MeetsCombosAHRI ref.ScoreBeats on Cap. 5/47Beats on COP@5°FBeats on HSPF2
1KUMXA421ALG · KUMXA421ALG3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted100%2.2911.048,00021.513.8CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC321540234795.998%98%92%
2AVW-48F3DAH2HisenseHisense4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted100%2.4010.854,00022.012.0CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOE321661825194.698%99%86%
3CHV6-RS48URBMHHCooper & HunterCooper&Hunter4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted100%2.4010.854,00022.012.0CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOE321702655694.698%99%86%
4KUSXA421ALG · KUSXA421Awith ductless indoor unit KNSCB421ALG3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted91%2.2010.843,50021.513.5CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC221483793088.683%96%86%
5KUMXA481ALG · KUMXA481ALG4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted100%2.3410.552,50020.513.1CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC321540863688.098%99%67%
6ZRUM048GSS0LG · ZRUM048GSS0LG4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted100%2.1010.354,00023.313.5CEE 25CEE 26CEE AdvXcelDOEES CC321491494780.298%82%61%
7RAV-BP421AT2P-ULTOSHIBA CARRIER · RAV-BP421AT2P-ULwith ductless indoor unit RAV-HB421CTP-ULCarrier3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted79%2.2011.133,20020.29.9CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC321641547279.444%96%98%
8MXZ-SM48NLHZ***Mitsubishi Electric · Smart MultiAlso listed as PUMY-HL48NKMU, MXZ-SM48NLHZ-Mitsubishi Electric4 tons48,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted100%2.0011.554,00023.013.1CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC421568546778.498%37%100%
9MXZ-SM42NLHZ***Mitsubishi Electric · Smart MultiAlso listed as PUMY-HL42NKMU, MXZ-SM42NLHZ-Mitsubishi Electric3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted100%2.0011.148,00021.513.4CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC321568546577.698%37%98%
10AOUH42KUAH1FUJITSU · AIRSTAGE H-serieswith ductless indoor unit AUUH42KUASFujitsu3.5 tons42,000 Btu/h · Non-ducted102%2.0210.648,00022.013.0CEE 25CEE 26XcelES CC221789571076.7100%58%73%

Non-ducted, 3.5–4.5 tons board

Download CSV of these cold-climate boardsEvery board above in one file, ranked by cold-climate score within each peer group.